You are invited to join us for our forthcoming webinar with Dr Ian Davis on 28 October at 6pm (UK).
Register here to join via zoom.
NATO 3.0: systemic shift or hype?
European security and NATO’s strategic framework are undergoing a major shift. Driven by a reduction in US conventional forces in Europe, perceptions of growing hybrid warfare from Russia, and a push toward European strategic autonomy, Europe’s nuclear and conventional architecture is rapidly changing.
Formally introduced by the Pentagon in early 2026, the NATO 3.0 concept marks a return to major-power territorial defence, but with a major twist: Europe must become the continent’s primary conventional defender, while the US acts as a nuclear guarantor and strategic backstop. Will this become a permanent structural reality, or just a political talking point? And what are the fault lines, and what potential alternative paths are possible?
Biography
Dr Ian Davis is the founder of NATO Watch (www.natowatch.org), a Scottish Charitable Incorporated Organisation that promotes public awareness and fosters debate on NATO’s role in public life. He is also Executive Editor of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) Yearbook and an Associate Senior Fellow in Conflict and Peace at SIPRI.
His recent publications include: ‘The Three Myths that Drive the UK’s Nuclear Juggernaut’, Rethinking Security, 7 Aug. 2026; ‘Multilateral regulation of inhumane weapons and other conventional weapons of humanitarian concern’, in SIPRI Yearbook 2026, Oxford University Press/SIPRI 2026; and ‘Who decides? Representation and decision-making in NATO’, in Oxford Handbook on North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, James Sperling and Mark Webber, ed., Oxford University Press 2024.
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The video of the webinar will be uploaded to our YouTube channel.